Santos 0-0 Fluminense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 31 Aug 2025

📅31/08/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.27
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
32%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.56
Over 2.5
50%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.99
No
45%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.32
2-3 Goals
40%
1.73
4-5 Goals
22%
4.73
6+ Goals
11%
27.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.49
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
9%
13.95
X/1
14%
4.89
X/2
13%
5.89
X/X
14%
3.83
2/1 EV+ ✗
6%
32.0
2/2
13%
4.64
2/X
5%
14.3
Value flag · 2/1 at 32.0 — our 6% vs market 1.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
40%
+0.7pp
27%
Draw
29%
-2.0pp
32%
Away Win
31%
+1.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
60%
-10.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
40%
+10.5pp
55%
BTTS Yes
46%
+8.4pp
45%
BTTS No
54%
-8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Santos EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Fluminense EU Bookmakers 34%
-2% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -21%
1.39/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.36
-4% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -15%
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
312 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 377 · 82%
22.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.5
22.5 Crosses 17.7
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Santos
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Fluminense
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.88 xG 1.46
35% Ball Possession 65%
10 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
238 Passes 512
78% Pass Accuracy 87%
22 Box Touches 21
15 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 3
14.04.2025 Fluminense Fluminense 1-0 HT 0-0 Santos Santos BR1
30.11.2023 Santos Santos 0-3 HT 0-2 Fluminense Fluminense BR1
29.07.2023 Fluminense Fluminense 1-0 HT 0-0 Santos Santos BR1
02.08.2022 Santos Santos 2-2 HT 1-0 Fluminense Fluminense BR1
09.04.2022 Fluminense Fluminense 0-0 HT 0-0 Santos Santos BR1
28.10.2021 Santos Santos 2-0 HT 1-0 Fluminense Fluminense BR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Santos
0-0
AWAY Fluminense
0.54 xG 0.18
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 5
2 Shots on Target 0
6 Corners 1
354 Passes 358
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
14 Box Touches 14
20 Crosses 8
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Santos vs Fluminense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Santos and Fluminense fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Santos at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Santos had 50% of the ball to Fluminense's 50%, shots finished 9-5, expected goals 0.54 to 0.18.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fluminense led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Santos and 1.17 for Fluminense.

What was the final score of Santos vs Fluminense?

Santos 0-0 Fluminense in the Brazil - Serie A on 31/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Santos vs Fluminense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Santos win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Santos 41%, draw 27%, Fluminense 32%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Santos) ✗ BTTS Yes
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