Flamengo vs Gremio Prediction — Model Probabilities
Flamengo v Gremio — Team-Based Signals
Flamengo vs Gremio Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Flamengo 1-1 Gremio — Actual Match Statistics
Flamengo and Gremio traded blows to a 1-1 standstill. Half-time: 0-0.
This one beat our numbers. Flamengo carried 79% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.
Under the surface, possession split 67% to 33% in Flamengo's favour, shots finished 21-6, expected goals 1.64 to 0.90.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Flamengo had the better of it with 4 wins. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.83 a game for Flamengo against 1.17 for Gremio.
Flamengo vs Gremio Result & Final Score
Flamengo 1 - 1 Gremio in the Brazil - Serie A on 31/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Flamengo vs Gremio Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Flamengo win the most likely single outcome at about 79%, with the full match-result split Flamengo 79%, draw 14%, Gremio 7%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.