Flamengo 1-1 Gremio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 31 Aug 2025

Flamengo
1-1 HT 0-0
Gremio
📅31/08/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Brazil - Serie A – 2025

Flamengo vs Gremio Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
71%
1.28
Draw
19%
4.95
Away
10%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.0
Over 2.5
56%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
2.33
No
47%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.53
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
28%
3.15
6+ Goals
10%
10.9
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.15 — our 28% vs market 25.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
44%
1.44
1/2
3%
34.5
1/X
8%
24.1
X/1
15%
3.53
X/2
3%
21.95
X/X
5%
6.96
2/1 EV+ ✗
12%
26.5
2/2
4%
21.5
2/X
6%
29.0
Value flag · 2/1 at 26.5 — our 12% vs market 1.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
71%
Home Win
74%
-2.8pp
19%
Draw
17%
+1.3pp
10%
Away Win
9%
+1.6pp
44%
Under 2.5
46%
-1.8pp
56%
Over 2.5
54%
+1.8pp
53%
BTTS Yes
39%
+14.0pp
47%
BTTS No
61%
-14.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Flamengo v Gremio — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Flamengo EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Gremio EU Bookmakers 11%
-6% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -5%
1.92/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.71
+13% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +7%
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
440 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 78%
31.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.4
21.6 Crosses 12.0
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.8

Flamengo vs Gremio Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Flamengo
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Gremio
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.44 xG 0.90
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
458 Passes 314
87% Pass Accuracy 81%
20 Box Touches 18
12 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
13.04.2025 Gremio Gremio 0-2 HT 0-1 Flamengo Flamengo BR1
23.09.2024 Gremio Gremio 3-2 HT 1-1 Flamengo Flamengo BR1
14.06.2024 Flamengo Flamengo 2-1 HT 1-0 Gremio Gremio BR1
26.10.2023 Gremio Gremio 3-2 HT 0-1 Flamengo Flamengo BR1
17.08.2023 Flamengo Flamengo 1-0 HT 0-0 Gremio Gremio BRK
27.07.2023 Gremio Gremio 0-2 HT 0-1 Flamengo Flamengo BRK

Flamengo 1-1 Gremio — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Flamengo
1-1
AWAY Gremio
1.64 xG 0.90
67% Ball Possession 33%
21 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 1
13 Corners 0
547 Passes 244
90% Pass Accuracy 79%
35 Box Touches 9
32 Crosses 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Flamengo vs Gremio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Flamengo and Gremio couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

This one beat our numbers. Flamengo carried 71% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Flamengo had 67% of the ball to Gremio's 33%, shots finished 21-6, expected goals 1.64 to 0.90.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Flamengo had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Flamengo and 1.17 for Gremio.

What was the final score of Flamengo vs Gremio?

Flamengo 1-1 Gremio in the Brazil - Serie A on 31/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Flamengo vs Gremio?

Before kick-off our model rated a Flamengo win the most likely single outcome at about 71%, with the full match-result split Flamengo 71%, draw 19%, Gremio 10%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Flamengo), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Flamengo) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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