Gremio 0-2 Flamengo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 13 Apr 2025

Gremio
0-2 HT 0-1
Flamengo
📅13/04/2025 · 🕒23:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Brazil - Serie A – 2025

Gremio vs Flamengo Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.69
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
44%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.71
Over 2.5
50%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.88
No
50%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.92
2-3 Goals
35%
1.82
4-5 Goals
26%
4.19
6+ Goals
11%
19.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
6.83
1/2
6%
27.0
1/X
8%
15.05
X/1
13%
8.36
X/2
17%
4.44
X/X
10%
4.38
2/1
8%
35.0
2/2
21%
2.57
2/X
8%
13.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
24%
+5.8pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.1pp
44%
Away Win
49%
-4.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
55%
-4.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
45%
+4.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.2pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Gremio v Flamengo — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gremio EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Flamengo EU Bookmakers 53%
-13% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +9%
1.03/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.56/1.18
-9% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / -28%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
267 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 375 · 83%
20.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.2
17.3 Crosses 17.1
3.3 Yellow Cards 2.4

Gremio vs Flamengo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gremio
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Flamengo
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.20 xG 1.57
44% Ball Possession 56%
14 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
320 Passes 439
80% Pass Accuracy 86%
21 Box Touches 21
16 Crosses 12
4 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
23.09.2024 Gremio Gremio 3-2 HT 1-1 Flamengo Flamengo BR1
14.06.2024 Flamengo Flamengo 2-1 HT 1-0 Gremio Gremio BR1
26.10.2023 Gremio Gremio 3-2 HT 0-1 Flamengo Flamengo BR1
17.08.2023 Flamengo Flamengo 1-0 HT 0-0 Gremio Gremio BRK
27.07.2023 Gremio Gremio 0-2 HT 0-1 Flamengo Flamengo BRK
12.06.2023 Flamengo Flamengo 3-0 HT 1-0 Gremio Gremio BR1

Gremio 0-2 Flamengo — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gremio
0-2
AWAY Flamengo
0.31 xG 1.08
39% Ball Possession 61%
10 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
317 Passes 525
84% Pass Accuracy 88%
17 Box Touches 17
21 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Gremio vs Flamengo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Flamengo got the better of Gremio 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Flamengo as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Gremio had 39% of the ball to Flamengo's 61%, shots finished 10-8, expected goals 0.31 to 1.08.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Flamengo led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Gremio and 2.00 for Flamengo.

What was the final score of Gremio vs Flamengo?

Gremio 0-2 Flamengo in the Brazil - Serie A on 13/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gremio vs Flamengo?

Before kick-off our model rated an Flamengo win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Gremio 30%, draw 26%, Flamengo 44%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Flamengo) — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Flamengo)
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