Sao Paulo 1-1 Cruzeiro — Maç Sonucu, İstatistikler ve Maç Analizi — Brazil - Serie A, 13 Apr 2025

Sao Paulo Elo 1677 · World #257 (clubs) DDWDD→
1 - 1 HT 0 - 0
Cruzeiro Elo 1728 · World #128 (clubs) DWLLL→
📅13/04/2025 · 🕒23:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Brazil - Serie A – 2025

Sao Paulo vs Cruzeiro Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off. · updated 00:55
Match Result
Home
51%
1.89
Draw
31%
3.02
Away
18%
4.16
Under/Over 2.5
UnderVIEW
63%
1.55
Over
37%
2.3
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.21
No
56%
1.59
Total Goals
0-1
37%
2.24
2-3
46%
1.86
4-5
15%
5.83
6+
2%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
2.63
1/2
1%
35.0
1/X
5%
15.2
X/1
19%
4.19
X/2
8%
8.54
X/X
21%
3.7
2/1
2%
32.5
2/2
9%
7.79
2/X
5%
16.85
NO PICK no pattern fills on this match today.
VIEW our model view: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a pick.

Sao Paulo v Cruzeiro — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Sao Paulo The Market 53%
Signal
AWAY Cruzeiro The Market 24%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.51 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 0.87
0.81 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.41
Average Attack Strength Weak
Great Defense Strength Average
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
394 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 79%
23 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16
22 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3

Sao Paulo vs Cruzeiro Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sao Paulo
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Cruzeiro
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.87 xG 0.65
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 5
449 Passes 332
86% Pass Accuracy 82%
21 Box Touches 14
16 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
16.01.2025 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 1-1 HT 1-1 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo HAZ
16.09.2024 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 0-1 HT 0-0 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo BR1
03.06.2024 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo 2-0 HT 1-0 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro BR1
03.11.2023 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo 1-0 HT 0-0 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro BR1
25.06.2023 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 1-0 HT 1-0 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo BR1
17.10.2019 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 1-0 HT 0-0 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo BR1

Sao Paulo 1-1 Cruzeiro — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sao Paulo
1 - 1
AWAY Cruzeiro
0.43 xG 1.09
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 6
327 Passes 219
82% Pass Accuracy 76%
16 Box Touches 19
14 Crosses 23
5 Yellow Cards 6
REVIEW Sao Paulo vs Cruzeiro
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Sao Paulo and Cruzeiro finished all square at 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

A gentle 51% lean on Sao Paulo didn't survive contact with the match; margins like that flip all the time. The goals card split: under 2.5 goals (63%) came in, no to both teams scoring (56%) didn't.

The match data tells the story: Sao Paulo had 57% of the ball to Cruzeiro's 43%, shots finished 11-15, expected goals 0.43 to 1.09.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sao Paulo had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Sao Paulo and 0.50 for Cruzeiro.

Sao Paulo vs Cruzeiro Result & Final Score

Sao Paulo 1 - 1 Cruzeiro in the Brazil - Serie A on 13/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Sao Paulo vs Cruzeiro Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Sao Paulo win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Sao Paulo 51%, draw 31%, Cruzeiro 18%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Sao Paulo), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sao Paulo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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