Vasco da Gama vs Sport Recife Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Vasco da Gama v Sport Recife — Team-Based Signals
Vasco da Gama vs Sport Recife Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-0
Vasco da Gama
BR2
0-0
HT 0-0
Sport Recife
BR2
0-2
HT 0-1
Vasco da Gama
BR1
2-0
HT 2-0
Sport Recife
BR1
2-1
HT 1-1
Vasco da Gama
BR1
3-2
HT 2-1
Sport Recife
BR1
Vasco da Gama 3-1 Sport Recife — Actual Match Statistics
Vasco da Gama saw off Sport Recife 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Vasco da Gama as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Vasco da Gama had 45% of the ball to Sport Recife's 55%, shots finished 10-18, expected goals 1.28 to 0.99.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vasco da Gama had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Vasco da Gama and 0.83 for Sport Recife.
What was the final score of Vasco da Gama vs Sport Recife?
Vasco da Gama 3-1 Sport Recife in the Brazil - Serie A on 13/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Vasco da Gama vs Sport Recife?
Before kick-off our model rated a Vasco da Gama win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Vasco da Gama 44%, draw 30%, Sport Recife 26%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vasco da Gama) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.