Palmeiras vs Corinthians Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Palmeiras v Corinthians — Team-Based Signals
Palmeiras vs Corinthians Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Palmeiras
BR1
2-1
HT 2-0
Corinthians
BR1
2-2
HT 1-1
Palmeiras
BREPAU
Palmeiras 2-0 Corinthians — Actual Match Statistics
Palmeiras saw off Corinthians 2-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Palmeiras as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Palmeiras had 34% of the ball to Corinthians's 66%, shots finished 13-8, expected goals 1.45 to 0.27.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Palmeiras had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Palmeiras and 1.17 for Corinthians.
What was the final score of Palmeiras vs Corinthians?
Palmeiras 2-0 Corinthians in the Brazil - Serie A on 13/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Palmeiras vs Corinthians?
Before kick-off our model rated a Palmeiras win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Palmeiras 47%, draw 27%, Corinthians 26%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Palmeiras), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.