Corinthians 2-0 Palmeiras — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 5 Nov 2024

Corinthians
2-0 HT 1-0
Palmeiras
📅05/11/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Brazil - Serie A – 2024

Corinthians vs Palmeiras Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.84
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
38%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.67
Over 2.5
45%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.88
No
53%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.7
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
4.34
6+ Goals
9%
21.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
4.65
1/2
7%
30.0
1/X
10%
13.8
X/1
15%
6.11
X/2
12%
4.81
X/X
11%
4.06
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
19%
3.32
2/X
6%
13.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
31%
+3.6pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.2pp
38%
Away Win
40%
-2.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.8pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Corinthians v Palmeiras — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Corinthians EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Palmeiras EU Bookmakers 45%
+3% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -3%
1.09/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.29
-6% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +7%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
324 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 374 · 82%
18.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.5
18.0 Crosses 19.8
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.4

Corinthians vs Palmeiras Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Corinthians
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Palmeiras
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.64 xG 0.87
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 8
292 Passes 316
78% Pass Accuracy 80%
16 Box Touches 19
14 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
02.07.2024 Palmeiras Palmeiras 2-0 HT 0-0 Corinthians Corinthians BR1
19.02.2024 Palmeiras Palmeiras 2-2 HT 1-0 Corinthians Corinthians BREPAU
03.09.2023 Corinthians Corinthians 0-0 HT 0-0 Palmeiras Palmeiras BR1
30.04.2023 Palmeiras Palmeiras 2-1 HT 2-0 Corinthians Corinthians BR1
17.02.2023 Corinthians Corinthians 2-2 HT 1-1 Palmeiras Palmeiras BREPAU
14.08.2022 Corinthians Corinthians 0-1 HT 0-0 Palmeiras Palmeiras BR1

Corinthians 2-0 Palmeiras — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Corinthians
2-0
AWAY Palmeiras
0.81 xG 1.00
41% Ball Possession 59%
6 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 9
250 Passes 361
75% Pass Accuracy 79%
11 Box Touches 31
5 Crosses 31
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Corinthians vs Palmeiras
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Corinthians beat Palmeiras 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (35% / 27% / 38%) promised a tight game; Corinthians found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Corinthians had 41% of the ball to Palmeiras's 59%, shots finished 6-17, expected goals 0.81 to 1.00.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Palmeiras led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Corinthians and 1.50 for Palmeiras.

What was the final score of Corinthians vs Palmeiras?

Corinthians 2-0 Palmeiras in the Brazil - Serie A on 05/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Corinthians vs Palmeiras?

Before kick-off our model rated an Palmeiras win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Corinthians 35%, draw 27%, Palmeiras 38%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Palmeiras) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Palmeiras) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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