Cruzeiro vs Sao Paulo Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Cruzeiro v Sao Paulo — Team-Based Signals
Cruzeiro vs Sao Paulo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Cruzeiro
BR1
1-0
HT 1-0
Sao Paulo
BR1
1-0
HT 0-0
Sao Paulo
BR1
1-1
HT 1-0
Cruzeiro
BR1
1-0
HT 1-0
Cruzeiro
BR1
Cruzeiro 0-1 Sao Paulo — Actual Match Statistics
Sao Paulo edged past Cruzeiro 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Cruzeiro at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (63%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Cruzeiro had 61% of the ball to Sao Paulo's 39%, shots finished 14-14, expected goals 0.58 to 1.07.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sao Paulo led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Cruzeiro and 0.83 for Sao Paulo.
What was the final score of Cruzeiro vs Sao Paulo?
Cruzeiro 0-1 Sao Paulo in the Brazil - Serie A on 16/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Cruzeiro vs Sao Paulo?
Before kick-off our model rated a Cruzeiro win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Cruzeiro 43%, draw 31%, Sao Paulo 25%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Cruzeiro) went the other way.