Flamengo vs Vasco da Gama Prediction — Model Probabilities
Flamengo v Vasco da Gama — Team-Based Signals
Flamengo vs Vasco da Gama Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Flamengo 1-1 Vasco da Gama — Actual Match Statistics
Flamengo and Vasco da Gama traded blows to a 1-1 standstill. Half-time: 0-0.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Flamengo at 56% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.
No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 46% and both teams to score at 48%, coin-flips both.
On the day, Flamengo had 61% of the ball to Vasco da Gama's 39%, shots finished 17-9, expected goals 2.07 to 1.03.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Flamengo had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for Flamengo and 1.00 for Vasco da Gama.
Flamengo vs Vasco da Gama Result & Final Score
Flamengo 1 - 1 Vasco da Gama in the Brazil - Serie A on 16/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Flamengo vs Vasco da Gama Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Flamengo win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Flamengo 56%, draw 27%, Vasco da Gama 17%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Flamengo), BTTS No went the other way.