Mirassol FC 3-1 Internacional — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 16 Oct 2025

📅16/10/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
2.12
Draw
25%
3.11
Away
25%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.67
Over 2.5
49%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.85
No
47%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.69
2-3 Goals
40%
1.75
4-5 Goals
23%
4.12
6+ Goals
10%
20.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
43%
+6.8pp
25%
Draw
29%
-3.2pp
25%
Away Win
28%
-3.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
56%
-5.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
44%
+5.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
50%
+2.7pp
47%
BTTS No
50%
-2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mirassol FC EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Internacional EU Bookmakers 32%
+26% / +26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.77/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.32
+96% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +9%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
338 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 80%
21.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
20.3 Crosses 16.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mirassol FC
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Internacional
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.88 xG 2.96
34% Ball Possession 66%
8 Total Shots 25
2 Shots on Target 12
3 Corners 6
252 Passes 550
78% Pass Accuracy 89%
9 Box Touches 37
8 Crosses 37
4 Yellow Cards 2
19.05.2025 Internacional Internacional 1-1 HT 0-1 Mirassol FC Mirassol FC BR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mirassol FC
3-1
AWAY Internacional
1.81 xG 0.93
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 2
436 Passes 330
87% Pass Accuracy 82%
25 Box Touches 9
24 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Mirassol FC vs Internacional
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mirassol FC saw off Internacional 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Mirassol FC as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Mirassol FC had 56% of the ball to Internacional's 44%, shots finished 17-6, expected goals 1.81 to 0.93.

What was the final score of Mirassol FC vs Internacional?

Mirassol FC 3-1 Internacional in the Brazil - Serie A on 16/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mirassol FC vs Internacional?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mirassol FC win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Mirassol FC 50%, draw 25%, Internacional 25%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mirassol FC), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Mirassol FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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