Santos vs Corinthians Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Santos v Corinthians — Team-Based Signals
Santos vs Corinthians Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-0
Santos
BR1
0-2
HT 0-2
Corinthians
BR1
2-2
HT 1-1
Corinthians
BREPAU
0-1
HT 0-0
Corinthians
BR1
Santos 3-1 Corinthians — Actual Match Statistics
Santos saw off Corinthians 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Santos as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Santos had 38% of the ball to Corinthians's 62%, shots finished 19-5, expected goals 1.83 to 0.54.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Corinthians led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Santos and 1.17 for Corinthians.
What was the final score of Santos vs Corinthians?
Santos 3-1 Corinthians in the Brazil - Serie A on 16/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Santos vs Corinthians?
Before kick-off our model rated a Santos win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Santos 45%, draw 30%, Corinthians 25%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Santos) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.