Botafogo 0-3 Flamengo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 16 Oct 2025

📅16/10/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.69
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
45%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.6
Over 2.5
44%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.99
No
51%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.48
2-3 Goals
38%
1.75
4-5 Goals
20%
4.5
6+ Goals
8%
24.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
6.74
1/2
6%
29.0
1/X
6%
14.9
X/1
7%
8.04
X/2
15%
4.44
X/X
12%
3.94
2/1
8%
35.0
2/2
24%
2.69
2/X
9%
13.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
24%
+4.2pp
27%
Draw
29%
-2.1pp
45%
Away Win
47%
-2.0pp
56%
Under 2.5
59%
-2.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
41%
+2.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
46%
+2.7pp
51%
BTTS No
54%
-2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Botafogo EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Flamengo EU Bookmakers 51%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +3%
1.59/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.21
-15% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / -23%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
307 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 375 · 81%
21.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.5
17.5 Crosses 16.5
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Botafogo
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Flamengo
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.36 xG 1.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
325 Passes 392
83% Pass Accuracy 85%
21 Box Touches 23
18 Crosses 18
4 Yellow Cards 2
19.05.2025 Flamengo Flamengo 0-0 HT 0-0 Botafogo Botafogo BR1
02.02.2025 Botafogo Botafogo 1-3 HT 0-2 Flamengo Flamengo BRSC
19.08.2024 Botafogo Botafogo 4-1 HT 1-1 Flamengo Flamengo BR1
28.04.2024 Flamengo Flamengo 0-2 HT 0-0 Botafogo Botafogo BR1
08.02.2024 Flamengo Flamengo 1-0 HT 0-0 Botafogo Botafogo BRC1
03.09.2023 Botafogo Botafogo 1-2 HT 1-1 Flamengo Flamengo BR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Botafogo
0-3
AWAY Flamengo
40% Ball Possession 60%
16 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 2
305 Passes 485
84% Pass Accuracy 90%
POST-MATCH Botafogo vs Flamengo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Flamengo ran out comfortable winners over Botafogo 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Flamengo as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Botafogo had 40% of the ball to Flamengo's 60%, shots finished 16-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Flamengo led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Botafogo and 1.17 for Flamengo.

What was the final score of Botafogo vs Flamengo?

Botafogo 0-3 Flamengo in the Brazil - Serie A on 16/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Botafogo vs Flamengo?

Before kick-off our model rated an Flamengo win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Botafogo 28%, draw 27%, Flamengo 45%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Flamengo), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Flamengo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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