Sport Recife vs Ceara Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sport Recife v Ceara — Team-Based Signals
Sport Recife vs Ceara Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 1-1
Sport Recife
BR2
1-0
HT 1-0
Ceara
BRCDN
2-1
HT 2-0
Sport Recife
BRCDN
Sport Recife 1-1 Ceara — Actual Match Statistics
Sport Recife and Ceara couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.
We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 26% / 33% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.
On the day, Sport Recife had 58% of the ball to Ceara's 42%, shots finished 17-15, expected goals 1.59 to 0.84.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ceara led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Sport Recife and 1.17 for Ceara.
What was the final score of Sport Recife vs Ceara?
Sport Recife 1-1 Ceara in the Brazil - Serie A on 16/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sport Recife vs Ceara?
Before kick-off our model rated a Sport Recife win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Sport Recife 40%, draw 26%, Ceara 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Sport Recife), BTTS No went the other way.