Ceara vs Sport Recife Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Ceara v Sport Recife — Team-Based Signals
Ceara vs Sport Recife Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 1-1
Sport Recife
BR2
1-0
HT 1-0
Ceara
BRCDN
2-1
HT 2-0
Sport Recife
BRCDN
3-2
HT 2-1
Sport Recife
BRCDN
Ceara 2-0 Sport Recife — Actual Match Statistics
Ceara saw off Sport Recife 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Ceara as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.
On the day, Ceara had 42% of the ball to Sport Recife's 58%, shots finished 7-9, expected goals 0.49 to 0.38.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ceara had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Ceara and 1.17 for Sport Recife.
What was the final score of Ceara vs Sport Recife?
Ceara 2-0 Sport Recife in the Brazil - Serie A on 17/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Ceara vs Sport Recife?
Before kick-off our model rated a Ceara win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Ceara 45%, draw 27%, Sport Recife 29%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ceara), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.