Sport Recife vs Ceara Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sport Recife v Ceara — Team-Based Signals
Sport Recife vs Ceara Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 1-1
Sport Recife
BR2
1-0
HT 1-0
Ceara
BRCDN
2-1
HT 2-0
Sport Recife
BRCDN
3-2
HT 2-1
Sport Recife
BRCDN
0-0
HT 0-0
Sport Recife
BRCDN
Sport Recife 2-1 Ceara — Actual Match Statistics
Sport Recife edged past Ceara 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Sport Recife as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Sport Recife had 52% of the ball to Ceara's 48%, shots finished 14-15, expected goals 1.29 to 1.55.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ceara led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Sport Recife and 1.17 for Ceara.
What was the final score of Sport Recife vs Ceara?
Sport Recife 2-1 Ceara in the Brazil - Serie B on 08/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sport Recife vs Ceara?
Before kick-off our model rated a Sport Recife win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Sport Recife 45%, draw 29%, Ceara 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sport Recife) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.