Goias 3-1 Santos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 8 Oct 2024

Goias
3-1 HT 2-1
Santos
📅08/10/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Brazil - Serie B – 2024

Goias vs Santos Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.67
Draw
29%
2.94
Away
33%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.48
Over 2.5
36%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.13
No
60%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2.15
2-3 Goals
39%
1.81
4-5 Goals
14%
5.85
6+ Goals
9%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
34%
+4.6pp
29%
Draw
30%
-1.3pp
32%
Away Win
36%
-3.3pp
64%
Under 2.5
64%
+0.4pp
36%
Over 2.5
36%
-0.4pp
40%
BTTS Yes
43%
-2.6pp
60%
BTTS No
57%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Goias v Santos — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Goias EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Santos EU Bookmakers 39%
+6% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.50/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/0.84
+31% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / +12%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
287 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 79%
23.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.3
24.1 Crosses 16.3
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.2

Goias vs Santos Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Goias
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Santos
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.29 xG 1.86
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 10
278 Passes 348
76% Pass Accuracy 82%
16 Box Touches 27
16 Crosses 30
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
20.06.2024 Santos Santos 2-0 HT 0-0 Goias Goias BR2
10.11.2023 Goias Goias 0-1 HT 0-0 Santos Santos BR1
09.07.2023 Santos Santos 4-3 HT 3-1 Goias Goias BR1
06.09.2022 Santos Santos 1-2 HT 0-1 Goias Goias BR1
16.05.2022 Goias Goias 1-0 HT 1-0 Santos Santos BR1
25.01.2021 Santos Santos 3-4 HT 2-0 Goias Goias BR1

Goias 3-1 Santos — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Goias
3-1
AWAY Santos
1.47 xG 1.48
32% Ball Possession 68%
15 Total Shots 13
9 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 11
178 Passes 437
71% Pass Accuracy 84%
13 Box Touches 21
9 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Goias vs Santos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Goias beat Santos 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

Our pre-match split (38% / 29% / 32%) promised a tight game; Goias found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Goias had 32% of the ball to Santos's 68%, shots finished 15-13, expected goals 1.47 to 1.48.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Goias and 1.83 for Santos.

What was the final score of Goias vs Santos?

Goias 3-1 Santos in the Brazil - Serie B on 08/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Goias vs Santos?

Before kick-off our model rated a Goias win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Goias 38%, draw 29%, Santos 32%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Goias) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Goias) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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