Santos 2-0 Goias — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 20 Jun 2024

Santos
2-0 HT 0-0
Goias
📅20/06/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.66
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
28%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.6
Over 2.5
42%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.16
No
56%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.52
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.69
6+ Goals
8%
25.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
56%
-10.5pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.4pp
28%
Away Win
18%
+10.1pp
58%
Under 2.5
59%
-0.7pp
42%
Over 2.5
41%
+0.7pp
44%
BTTS Yes
42%
+2.3pp
56%
BTTS No
58%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Santos EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Goias EU Bookmakers 21%
-31% / -31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / +0%
1.67/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.17
+68% / -51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +12%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
389 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 76%
21.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.1
19.1 Crosses 22.7
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Santos
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Goias
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
2.05 xG 1.44
53% Ball Possession 47%
17 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 5
330 Passes 279
81% Pass Accuracy 76%
25 Box Touches 16
26 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 3
10.11.2023 Goias Goias 0-1 HT 0-0 Santos Santos BR1
09.07.2023 Santos Santos 4-3 HT 3-1 Goias Goias BR1
06.09.2022 Santos Santos 1-2 HT 0-1 Goias Goias BR1
16.05.2022 Goias Goias 1-0 HT 1-0 Santos Santos BR1
25.01.2021 Santos Santos 3-4 HT 2-0 Goias Goias BR1
05.10.2020 Goias Goias 2-3 HT 1-1 Santos Santos BR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Santos
2-0
AWAY Goias
1.21 xG 0.28
53% Ball Possession 47%
20 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 1
11 Corners 3
357 Passes 308
86% Pass Accuracy 79%
28 Box Touches 13
36 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Santos vs Goias
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Santos beat Goias 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Santos as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Santos had 53% of the ball to Goias's 47%, shots finished 20-8, expected goals 1.21 to 0.28.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Santos and 2.00 for Goias.

What was the final score of Santos vs Goias?

Santos 2-0 Goias in the Brazil - Serie B on 20/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Santos vs Goias?

Before kick-off our model rated a Santos win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Santos 46%, draw 27%, Goias 28%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Santos), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Santos) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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