Coritiba 1-0 America Mineiro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 20 Jun 2024

📅20/06/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.27
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
32%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.59
Over 2.5
38%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.96
No
60%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
36%
2.45
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
16%
4.87
6+ Goals
8%
28.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.45 — our 36% vs market 34.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
18%
2/1
10%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
40%
-1.8pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.1pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+1.9pp
62%
Under 2.5
59%
+2.7pp
38%
Over 2.5
41%
-2.7pp
40%
BTTS Yes
47%
-6.5pp
60%
BTTS No
53%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Coritiba EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY America Mineiro EU Bookmakers 34%
+4% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +14%
1.17/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.02
-19% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +18%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
330 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 79%
17.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.1
19.9 Crosses 19.2
2.8 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Coritiba
4W-1D-1L
AWAY America Mineiro
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.32 xG 1.18
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
300 Passes 340
78% Pass Accuracy 81%
16 Box Touches 22
16 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
09.11.2023 America Mineiro America Mineiro 0-3 HT 0-2 Coritiba Coritiba BR1
09.07.2023 Coritiba Coritiba 3-1 HT 2-1 America Mineiro America Mineiro BR1
04.09.2022 America Mineiro America Mineiro 2-0 HT 1-0 Coritiba Coritiba BR1
15.05.2022 Coritiba Coritiba 1-0 HT 1-0 America Mineiro America Mineiro BR1
28.09.2019 Coritiba Coritiba 2-1 HT 1-0 America Mineiro America Mineiro BR2
04.06.2019 America Mineiro America Mineiro 1-1 HT 1-0 Coritiba Coritiba BR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Coritiba
1-0
AWAY America Mineiro
1.01 xG 0.52
39% Ball Possession 61%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 3
259 Passes 451
74% Pass Accuracy 83%
19 Box Touches 10
13 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Coritiba vs America Mineiro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Coritiba squeezed past America Mineiro 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 29% / 32% — and on the day Coritiba made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (60%) came in.

On the day, Coritiba had 39% of the ball to America Mineiro's 61%, shots finished 13-9, expected goals 1.01 to 0.52.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Coritiba had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Coritiba and 0.83 for America Mineiro.

What was the final score of Coritiba vs America Mineiro?

Coritiba 1-0 America Mineiro in the Brazil - Serie B on 20/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Coritiba vs America Mineiro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Coritiba win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Coritiba 38%, draw 29%, America Mineiro 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Coritiba), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Coritiba) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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