Botafogo SP 2-0 Ponte Preta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 20 Jun 2024

Botafogo SP
2-0 HT 0-0
Ponte Preta
📅20/06/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Brazil - Serie B – 2024

Botafogo SP vs Ponte Preta Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.18
Draw
32%
2.94
Away
27%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
69%
1.48
Over 2.5
31%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
35%
2.13
No
65%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
43%
2.19
2-3 Goals
38%
1.8
4-5 Goals
13%
5.7
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.19 — our 43% vs market 38.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-1.3pp
32%
Draw
30%
+1.7pp
27%
Away Win
27%
-0.5pp
69%
Under 2.5
64%
+5.3pp
31%
Over 2.5
36%
-5.3pp
35%
BTTS Yes
43%
-7.4pp
65%
BTTS No
57%
+7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Botafogo SP v Ponte Preta — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Botafogo SP EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Ponte Preta EU Bookmakers 31%
-7% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -5%
1.01/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.28
-39% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +3%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
306 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 76%
18.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.4
22.3 Crosses 18.2
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.7

Botafogo SP vs Ponte Preta Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Botafogo SP
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Ponte Preta
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.91 xG 0.98
44% Ball Possession 56%
14 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
264 Passes 372
77% Pass Accuracy 83%
14 Box Touches 16
16 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
12.08.2023 Botafogo SP Botafogo SP 0-0 HT 0-0 Ponte Preta Ponte Preta BR2
03.05.2023 Ponte Preta Ponte Preta 2-0 HT 0-0 Botafogo SP Botafogo SP BR2
17.02.2022 Ponte Preta Ponte Preta 0-1 HT 0-0 Botafogo SP Botafogo SP BREPAU
14.05.2021 Ponte Preta Ponte Preta 0-0 HT 0-0 Botafogo SP Botafogo SP BREPAU
14.03.2021 Botafogo SP Botafogo SP 0-1 HT 0-1 Ponte Preta Ponte Preta BREPAU
09.12.2020 Botafogo SP Botafogo SP 2-1 HT 1-0 Ponte Preta Ponte Preta BR2

Botafogo SP 2-0 Ponte Preta — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Botafogo SP
2-0
AWAY Ponte Preta
0.64 xG 0.46
40% Ball Possession 60%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 1
245 Passes 408
74% Pass Accuracy 81%
16 Box Touches 12
14 Crosses 12
5 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Botafogo SP vs Ponte Preta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Botafogo SP saw off Ponte Preta 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Botafogo SP as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (69%), no to both teams scoring (65%) came in.

On the day, Botafogo SP had 40% of the ball to Ponte Preta's 60%, shots finished 12-11, expected goals 0.64 to 0.46.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Botafogo SP and 0.67 for Ponte Preta.

What was the final score of Botafogo SP vs Ponte Preta?

Botafogo SP 2-0 Ponte Preta in the Brazil - Serie B on 20/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Botafogo SP vs Ponte Preta?

Before kick-off our model rated a Botafogo SP win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Botafogo SP 41%, draw 32%, Ponte Preta 27%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Botafogo SP), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Botafogo SP) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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