Atletico Mineiro 1-1 Cruzeiro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 16 Oct 2025

📅16/10/2025 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.99
Draw
28%
2.94
Away
38%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.54
Over 2.5
36%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.03
No
59%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.29
2-3 Goals
43%
1.76
4-5 Goals
15%
4.99
6+ Goals
7%
30.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
18%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
30%
+3.7pp
28%
Draw
31%
-2.9pp
39%
Away Win
39%
-0.8pp
64%
Under 2.5
61%
+3.0pp
36%
Over 2.5
39%
-3.1pp
41%
BTTS Yes
45%
-4.5pp
59%
BTTS No
55%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Mineiro EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Cruzeiro EU Bookmakers 43%
-15% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -4%
1.71/1.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.08
+14% / -59% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / +20%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
320 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 80%
20.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.7
17.3 Crosses 17.8
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Mineiro
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Cruzeiro
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.65 xG 1.11
60% Ball Possession 40%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
399 Passes 235
84% Pass Accuracy 77%
18 Box Touches 17
19 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
12.09.2025 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 2-0 HT 1-0 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro BRK
28.08.2025 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro 0-2 HT 0-0 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro BRK
19.05.2025 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 0-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro BR1
19.01.2025 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro 0-0 HT 0-0 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro HAZ
11.08.2024 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 0-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro BR1
21.04.2024 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro 3-0 HT 3-0 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro BR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Mineiro
1-1
AWAY Cruzeiro
1.12 xG 0.59
61% Ball Possession 39%
23 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 1
376 Passes 208
87% Pass Accuracy 77%
34 Box Touches 6
19 Crosses 13
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Atletico Mineiro vs Cruzeiro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Mineiro and Cruzeiro shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (34% / 28% / 39%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (64%) landed while no to both teams scoring (59%) missed.

On the day, Atletico Mineiro had 61% of the ball to Cruzeiro's 39%, shots finished 23-4, expected goals 1.12 to 0.59.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cruzeiro led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Atletico Mineiro and 0.67 for Cruzeiro.

What was the final score of Atletico Mineiro vs Cruzeiro?

Atletico Mineiro 1-1 Cruzeiro in the Brazil - Serie A on 16/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Mineiro vs Cruzeiro?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cruzeiro win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Atletico Mineiro 34%, draw 28%, Cruzeiro 39%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Cruzeiro), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cruzeiro) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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