Fortaleza vs Vasco da Gama Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Fortaleza v Vasco da Gama — Team-Based Signals
Fortaleza vs Vasco da Gama Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Fortaleza
BR1
Fortaleza 0-2 Vasco da Gama — Actual Match Statistics
Vasco da Gama saw off Fortaleza 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match lean was Fortaleza at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Fortaleza had 55% of the ball to Vasco da Gama's 45%, shots finished 27-6, expected goals 2.27 to 0.54 — the balance of chances actually favoured Fortaleza.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vasco da Gama led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Fortaleza and 1.50 for Vasco da Gama.
What was the final score of Fortaleza vs Vasco da Gama?
Fortaleza 0-2 Vasco da Gama in the Brazil - Serie A on 16/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Fortaleza vs Vasco da Gama?
Before kick-off our model rated a Fortaleza win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Fortaleza 45%, draw 25%, Vasco da Gama 30%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.