Vasco da Gama vs Fortaleza Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Vasco da Gama v Fortaleza — Team-Based Signals
Vasco da Gama vs Fortaleza Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Fortaleza
BR1
2-0
HT 0-0
Vasco da Gama
BR1
3-0
HT 2-0
Vasco da Gama
BR1
0-0
HT 0-0
Fortaleza
BR1
1-0
HT 0-0
Fortaleza
BR1
Vasco da Gama 3-3 Fortaleza — Actual Match Statistics
Vasco da Gama and Fortaleza couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. Half-time: 1-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 29% / 34% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Vasco da Gama had 49% of the ball to Fortaleza's 51%, shots finished 10-12, expected goals 2.36 to 1.73.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Vasco da Gama and 0.83 for Fortaleza.
What was the final score of Vasco da Gama vs Fortaleza?
Vasco da Gama 3-3 Fortaleza in the Brazil - Cup on 22/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Vasco da Gama vs Fortaleza?
Before kick-off our model rated a Vasco da Gama win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Vasco da Gama 36%, draw 29%, Fortaleza 34%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.