Bragantino 3-0 Sousa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Cup, 22 May 2024

📅22/05/2024 · 🕒01:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.16
Draw
19%
6.26
Away
18%
12.05
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.61
Over 2.5
52%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.33
No
62%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
5.9
2-3 Goals
39%
2.05
4-5 Goals
25%
2.59
6+ Goals
10%
5.88
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 5.9 — our 26% vs market 12.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
20%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
5%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
82%
-18.4pp
19%
Draw
13%
+6.2pp
18%
Away Win
6%
+12.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
35%
+13.5pp
52%
Over 2.5
65%
-13.5pp
38%
BTTS Yes
39%
-0.6pp
62%
BTTS No
61%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bragantino EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Sousa EU Bookmakers 8%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
62% Ball Possession 38%
19 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
445 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 230 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bragantino
3-0
AWAY Sousa
1.59 xG 0.00
69% Ball Possession 31%
25 Total Shots 0
7 Shots on Target 0
6 Corners 0
498 Passes 179
86% Pass Accuracy 66%
33 Box Touches 1
25 Crosses 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Bragantino vs Sousa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bragantino ran out comfortable winners over Sousa 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Bragantino as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (62%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Bragantino had 69% of the ball to Sousa's 31%, shots finished 25-0, expected goals 1.59 to 0.00.

What was the final score of Bragantino vs Sousa?

Bragantino 3-0 Sousa in the Brazil - Cup on 22/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bragantino vs Sousa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bragantino win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Bragantino 63%, draw 19%, Sousa 18%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bragantino), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bragantino) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BRK More Brazil - Cup
22 May 2024
03:30 Vasco da Gama vs Fortaleza Analysis →