Vasco da Gama vs Fortaleza Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Vasco da Gama v Fortaleza — Team-Based Signals
Vasco da Gama vs Fortaleza Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Fortaleza
BR1
2-0
HT 0-0
Vasco da Gama
BR1
3-0
HT 2-0
Vasco da Gama
BR1
0-0
HT 0-0
Fortaleza
BR1
Vasco da Gama 2-0 Fortaleza — Actual Match Statistics
Vasco da Gama got the better of Fortaleza 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Vasco da Gama as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.
On the day, Vasco da Gama had 59% of the ball to Fortaleza's 41%, shots finished 19-10, expected goals 1.82 to 0.48.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fortaleza led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Vasco da Gama and 1.33 for Fortaleza.
What was the final score of Vasco da Gama vs Fortaleza?
Vasco da Gama 2-0 Fortaleza in the Brazil - Serie A on 04/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Vasco da Gama vs Fortaleza?
Before kick-off our model rated a Vasco da Gama win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Vasco da Gama 43%, draw 25%, Fortaleza 32%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vasco da Gama), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.