Bragantino 3-1 Atletico Goianiense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 4 Jul 2024

Bragantino
3-1 HT 3-1
Atletico Goianiense
📅04/07/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Brazil - Serie A – 2024

Bragantino vs Atletico Goianiense Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.8
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
30%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.67
Over 2.5
40%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.96
No
57%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
2.74
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
17%
4.25
6+ Goals
9%
21.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.74 — our 35% vs market 30.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
52%
-12.2pp
30%
Draw
27%
+2.8pp
30%
Away Win
21%
+9.4pp
60%
Under 2.5
56%
+4.1pp
40%
Over 2.5
44%
-4.1pp
43%
BTTS Yes
47%
-4.3pp
57%
BTTS No
53%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Bragantino v Atletico Goianiense — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bragantino EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Goianiense EU Bookmakers 24%
+0% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +6%
1.66/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.32
+15% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +25%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
337 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 78%
24.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.1
24.3 Crosses 16.8
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.5

Bragantino vs Atletico Goianiense Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bragantino
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Atletico Goianiense
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.72 xG 0.95
52% Ball Possession 48%
17 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 5
337 Passes 298
82% Pass Accuracy 78%
26 Box Touches 16
27 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
07.08.2022 Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense 2-1 HT 0-0 Bragantino BR1
18.04.2022 Bragantino 4-0 HT 3-0 Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense BR1
13.10.2021 Bragantino 1-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense BR1
29.06.2021 Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense 0-1 HT 0-0 Bragantino BR1
04.02.2021 Bragantino 2-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense BR1
12.10.2020 Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense 2-1 HT 1-1 Bragantino BR1

Bragantino 3-1 Atletico Goianiense — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bragantino
3-1
AWAY Atletico Goianiense
1.54 xG 0.76
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 8
304 Passes 286
78% Pass Accuracy 79%
18 Box Touches 13
12 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Bragantino vs Atletico Goianiense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bragantino got the better of Atletico Goianiense 3-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 30% / 30% — and on the day Bragantino made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Bragantino had 52% of the ball to Atletico Goianiense's 48%, shots finished 13-13, expected goals 1.54 to 0.76.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bragantino had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Bragantino and 0.67 for Atletico Goianiense.

What was the final score of Bragantino vs Atletico Goianiense?

Bragantino 3-1 Atletico Goianiense in the Brazil - Serie A on 04/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bragantino vs Atletico Goianiense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bragantino win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Bragantino 40%, draw 30%, Atletico Goianiense 30%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bragantino) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bragantino) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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