Vasco da Gama 3-0 Fortaleza — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 18 May 2025

📅18/05/2025 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.38
Draw
28%
2.88
Away
33%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.56
Over 2.5
39%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.96
No
58%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2.49
2-3 Goals
36%
1.83
4-5 Goals
19%
5.04
6+ Goals
8%
29.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.71
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
7%
13.3
X/1
15%
5.32
X/2
9%
6.16
X/X
15%
3.72
2/1
8%
34.0
2/2
17%
4.67
2/X
6%
13.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
38%
+1.0pp
28%
Draw
31%
-3.0pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+2.0pp
61%
Under 2.5
60%
+0.4pp
39%
Over 2.5
40%
-0.4pp
42%
BTTS Yes
47%
-5.2pp
58%
BTTS No
53%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vasco da Gama EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Fortaleza EU Bookmakers 34%
+10% / +32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -20%
1.27/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.61
+7% / +65% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -21%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
310 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 80%
19.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.7
20.1 Crosses 18.0
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vasco da Gama
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Fortaleza
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.17 xG 1.35
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
341 Passes 328
81% Pass Accuracy 82%
14 Box Touches 22
16 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.11.2024 Fortaleza Fortaleza 3-0 HT 1-0 Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama BR1
04.07.2024 Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama 2-0 HT 1-0 Fortaleza Fortaleza BR1
22.05.2024 Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama 3-3 HT 1-1 Fortaleza Fortaleza BRK
02.05.2024 Fortaleza Fortaleza 0-0 HT 0-0 Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama BRK
19.10.2023 Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama 1-0 HT 0-0 Fortaleza Fortaleza BR1
27.05.2023 Fortaleza Fortaleza 2-0 HT 0-0 Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama BR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vasco da Gama
3-0
AWAY Fortaleza
1.69 xG 0.82
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 7
355 Passes 325
86% Pass Accuracy 83%
22 Box Touches 18
13 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Vasco da Gama vs Fortaleza
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vasco da Gama swept aside Fortaleza 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 28% / 32% — and on the day Vasco da Gama made the difference. On goals, no to both teams scoring (58%) landed while under 2.5 goals (61%) missed.

On the day, Vasco da Gama had 50% of the ball to Fortaleza's 50%, shots finished 14-10, expected goals 1.69 to 0.82.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Vasco da Gama and 1.33 for Fortaleza.

What was the final score of Vasco da Gama vs Fortaleza?

Vasco da Gama 3-0 Fortaleza in the Brazil - Serie A on 18/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vasco da Gama vs Fortaleza?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vasco da Gama win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Vasco da Gama 39%, draw 28%, Fortaleza 32%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vasco da Gama), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Vasco da Gama) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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