Corinthians vs Santos Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Corinthians v Santos — Team-Based Signals
Corinthians vs Santos Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-0
Santos
BR1
0-2
HT 0-2
Corinthians
BR1
2-2
HT 1-1
Corinthians
BREPAU
0-1
HT 0-0
Corinthians
BR1
1-0
HT 0-0
Corinthians
BRK
Corinthians 1-0 Santos — Actual Match Statistics
Corinthians squeezed past Santos 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Corinthians as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (65%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Corinthians had 62% of the ball to Santos's 38%, shots finished 11-6, expected goals 0.74 to 0.74.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Corinthians and 0.83 for Santos.
What was the final score of Corinthians vs Santos?
Corinthians 1-0 Santos in the Brazil - Serie A on 18/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Corinthians vs Santos?
Before kick-off our model rated a Corinthians win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Corinthians 46%, draw 27%, Santos 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Corinthians), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.