Juventude 1-1 Fluminense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 18 May 2025

📅18/05/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.46
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
38%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.6
Over 2.5
44%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.99
No
54%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.6
2-3 Goals
38%
1.82
4-5 Goals
20%
4.79
6+ Goals
9%
26.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
6.2
1/2
6%
29.0
1/X
12%
15.35
X/1
8%
7.44
X/2
17%
4.47
X/X
12%
4.09
2/1
11%
35.0
2/2
16%
2.84
2/X
6%
14.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
26%
+6.0pp
30%
Draw
28%
+2.1pp
38%
Away Win
46%
-8.1pp
56%
Under 2.5
59%
-2.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
41%
+2.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
46%
+0.2pp
54%
BTTS No
54%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Juventude EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Fluminense EU Bookmakers 50%
+8% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -10%
1.06/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.61/1.56
+3% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -41%
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
290 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 399 · 83%
17.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.2
22.8 Crosses 23.1
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Juventude
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Fluminense
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.09 xG 1.22
41% Ball Possession 59%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
256 Passes 439
72% Pass Accuracy 80%
18 Box Touches 21
20 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 2
15.09.2024 Juventude Juventude 2-1 HT 0-1 Fluminense Fluminense BR1
08.08.2024 Fluminense Fluminense 2-2 HT 0-1 Juventude Juventude BRK
02.08.2024 Juventude Juventude 3-2 HT 0-1 Fluminense Fluminense BRK
02.06.2024 Fluminense Fluminense 1-1 HT 1-0 Juventude Juventude BR1
29.09.2022 Fluminense Fluminense 4-0 HT 2-0 Juventude Juventude BR1
05.06.2022 Juventude Juventude 1-0 HT 1-0 Fluminense Fluminense BR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Juventude
1-1
AWAY Fluminense
0.55 xG 2.46
32% Ball Possession 68%
9 Total Shots 17
1 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 5
191 Passes 509
74% Pass Accuracy 89%
18 Box Touches 27
21 Crosses 10
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Juventude vs Fluminense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Juventude and Fluminense couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 30% / 38% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Juventude had 32% of the ball to Fluminense's 68%, shots finished 9-17, expected goals 0.55 to 2.46.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Juventude had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Juventude and 1.67 for Fluminense.

What was the final score of Juventude vs Fluminense?

Juventude 1-1 Fluminense in the Brazil - Serie A on 18/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Juventude vs Fluminense?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fluminense win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Juventude 32%, draw 30%, Fluminense 38%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Fluminense), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fluminense) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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