Bahia 2-1 Vitoria — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 18 May 2025

Bahia
2-1 HT 1-0
Vitoria
📅18/05/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Brazil - Serie A – 2025

Bahia vs Vitoria Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.75
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
29%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.6
Over 2.5
48%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.13
No
53%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.59
2-3 Goals
40%
1.82
4-5 Goals
20%
4.8
6+ Goals
10%
26.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.29
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
9%
15.45
X/1
15%
4.06
X/2
11%
9.86
X/X
9%
4.26
2/1
8%
28.5
2/2
13%
8.84
2/X
9%
17.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
54%
-9.1pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.0pp
29%
Away Win
20%
+9.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
59%
-6.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
41%
+6.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
43%
+4.2pp
53%
BTTS No
57%
-4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Bahia v Vitoria — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bahia EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Vitoria EU Bookmakers 22%
-4% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +11%
1.56/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/0.93
-13% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +3%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
360 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 78%
25.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.3
22.1 Crosses 18.5
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.4

Bahia vs Vitoria Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bahia
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Vitoria
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.39 xG 1.33
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
446 Passes 309
87% Pass Accuracy 82%
18 Box Touches 14
16 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
11.08.2024 Bahia Bahia 2-0 HT 1-0 Vitoria Vitoria BR1
21.04.2024 Vitoria Vitoria 2-2 HT 1-0 Bahia Bahia BR1
05.03.2023 Bahia Bahia 1-1 HT 1-1 Vitoria Vitoria BRCDN
29.01.2023 Bahia Bahia 1-0 HT 1-0 Vitoria Vitoria BRB1
03.02.2022 Vitoria Vitoria 1-1 HT 0-0 Bahia Bahia BRB1
18.03.2021 Bahia Bahia 0-0 HT 0-0 Vitoria Vitoria BRB1

Bahia 2-1 Vitoria — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bahia
2-1
AWAY Vitoria
0.66 xG 2.46
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 23
2 Shots on Target 8
1 Corners 10
273 Passes 331
82% Pass Accuracy 90%
18 Box Touches 19
5 Crosses 36
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Bahia vs Vitoria
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bahia nicked a narrow win over Vitoria 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Bahia as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Bahia had 45% of the ball to Vitoria's 55%, shots finished 8-23, expected goals 0.66 to 2.46 — on chances, Vitoria could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bahia had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Bahia and 0.67 for Vitoria.

What was the final score of Bahia vs Vitoria?

Bahia 2-1 Vitoria in the Brazil - Serie A on 18/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bahia vs Vitoria?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bahia win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Bahia 44%, draw 27%, Vitoria 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bahia) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bahia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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