Bahia 2-0 Vitoria — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 11 Aug 2024

📅11/08/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.61
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
23%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.64
Over 2.5
41%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.16
No
62%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.62
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.48
6+ Goals
7%
23.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
2.12
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
16.6
X/1
17%
3.62
X/2
9%
10.7
X/X
11%
4.41
2/1
8%
28.0
2/2
8%
9.48
2/X
6%
17.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
58%
-5.5pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.8pp
23%
Away Win
17%
+6.3pp
59%
Under 2.5
57%
+1.9pp
41%
Over 2.5
43%
-1.9pp
38%
BTTS Yes
42%
-3.6pp
62%
BTTS No
58%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bahia EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Vitoria EU Bookmakers 20%
-7% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +2%
1.51/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.12
-22% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -9%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
344 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 79%
23.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.9
21.3 Crosses 18.1
1.6 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bahia
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Vitoria
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
2.14 xG 1.69
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
455 Passes 308
88% Pass Accuracy 82%
22 Box Touches 12
21 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 3
21.04.2024 Vitoria Vitoria 2-2 HT 1-0 Bahia Bahia BR1
05.03.2023 Bahia Bahia 1-1 HT 1-1 Vitoria Vitoria BRCDN
29.01.2023 Bahia Bahia 1-0 HT 1-0 Vitoria Vitoria BRB1
03.02.2022 Vitoria Vitoria 1-1 HT 0-0 Bahia Bahia BRB1
18.03.2021 Bahia Bahia 0-0 HT 0-0 Vitoria Vitoria BRB1
13.03.2021 Vitoria Vitoria 1-0 HT 0-0 Bahia Bahia BRCDN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bahia
2-0
AWAY Vitoria
0.64 xG 0.97
57% Ball Possession 43%
7 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
436 Passes 310
86% Pass Accuracy 83%
15 Box Touches 16
11 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Bahia vs Vitoria
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bahia beat Vitoria 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Bahia as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (62%) came in.

On the day, Bahia had 57% of the ball to Vitoria's 43%, shots finished 7-14, expected goals 0.64 to 0.97.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Bahia and 0.83 for Vitoria.

What was the final score of Bahia vs Vitoria?

Bahia 2-0 Vitoria in the Brazil - Serie A on 11/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bahia vs Vitoria?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bahia win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Bahia 53%, draw 24%, Vitoria 23%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bahia), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bahia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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