Botafogo vs Flamengo Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Botafogo v Flamengo — Team-Based Signals
Botafogo vs Flamengo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 1-1
Flamengo
BR1
2-3
HT 0-2
Botafogo
BR1
0-1
HT 0-1
Flamengo
BRC1
0-1
HT 0-0
Flamengo
BR1
Botafogo 4-1 Flamengo — Actual Match Statistics
Botafogo ran out comfortable winners over Flamengo 4-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 26% / 34% — and on the day Botafogo made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Botafogo had 54% of the ball to Flamengo's 46%, shots finished 19-10, expected goals 3.30 to 0.82.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Flamengo led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Botafogo and 1.17 for Flamengo.
What was the final score of Botafogo vs Flamengo?
Botafogo 4-1 Flamengo in the Brazil - Serie A on 19/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Botafogo vs Flamengo?
Before kick-off our model rated a Botafogo win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Botafogo 40%, draw 26%, Flamengo 34%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Botafogo) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.