Atletico Paranaense vs Juventude Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Atletico Paranaense v Juventude — Team-Based Signals
Atletico Paranaense vs Juventude Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 1-0
Juventude
BR1
1-3
HT 1-1
Atletico Paranaense
BR1
2-1
HT 0-0
Juventude
BR1
0-3
HT 0-0
Atletico Paranaense
BR1
0-0
HT 0-0
Atletico Paranaense
BR1
Atletico Paranaense 1-2 Juventude — Actual Match Statistics
Juventude edged past Atletico Paranaense 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Atletico Paranaense at 59% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Atletico Paranaense had 60% of the ball to Juventude's 40%, shots finished 23-8, expected goals 1.66 to 1.13 — the balance of chances actually favoured Atletico Paranaense.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Paranaense had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Atletico Paranaense and 0.50 for Juventude.
What was the final score of Atletico Paranaense vs Juventude?
Atletico Paranaense 1-2 Juventude in the Brazil - Serie A on 19/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Atletico Paranaense vs Juventude?
Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Paranaense win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Atletico Paranaense 59%, draw 20%, Juventude 21%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.