Juventude 1-1 Atletico Paranaense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 29 Apr 2024

📅29/04/2024 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.8
Draw
27%
2.94
Away
34%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.51
Over 2.5
42%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.06
No
54%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.26
2-3 Goals
42%
1.79
4-5 Goals
17%
5.42
6+ Goals
9%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
4.5
1/2
10%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.25
X/1
11%
5.66
X/2
11%
4.97
X/X
9%
3.58
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
14%
3.75
2/X
11%
14.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
32%
+6.4pp
27%
Draw
31%
-3.9pp
35%
Away Win
37%
-2.5pp
58%
Under 2.5
62%
-4.5pp
42%
Over 2.5
38%
+4.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.9pp
54%
BTTS No
56%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Juventude EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Paranaense EU Bookmakers 40%
+11% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -2%
1.24/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.44
-7% / +61% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +1%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
287 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 80%
19.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.4
24.6 Crosses 16.6
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Juventude
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Atletico Paranaense
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.13 xG 1.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
325 Passes 309
82% Pass Accuracy 81%
18 Box Touches 18
20 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 4
02.10.2022 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense 2-0 HT 1-0 Juventude Juventude BR1
09.06.2022 Juventude Juventude 1-3 HT 1-1 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense BR1
19.09.2021 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense 2-1 HT 0-0 Juventude Juventude BR1
07.06.2021 Juventude Juventude 0-3 HT 0-0 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense BR1
13.10.2007 Juventude Juventude 0-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense BR1
19.07.2007 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense 4-0 HT 1-0 Juventude Juventude BR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Juventude
1-1
AWAY Atletico Paranaense
1.17 xG 1.28
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
379 Passes 295
83% Pass Accuracy 79%
26 Box Touches 20
24 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Juventude vs Atletico Paranaense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Juventude and Atletico Paranaense couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 27% / 35% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Juventude had 55% of the ball to Atletico Paranaense's 45%, shots finished 15-15, expected goals 1.17 to 1.28.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Paranaense led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Juventude and 2.33 for Atletico Paranaense.

What was the final score of Juventude vs Atletico Paranaense?

Juventude 1-1 Atletico Paranaense in the Brazil - Serie A on 29/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Juventude vs Atletico Paranaense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Juventude win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Juventude 39%, draw 27%, Atletico Paranaense 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Juventude), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Juventude) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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