Internacional 1-1 Atletico Goianiense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 29 Apr 2024

Internacional
1-1 HT 0-0
Atletico Goianiense
📅29/04/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Brazil - Serie A – 2024

Internacional vs Atletico Goianiense Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.61
Draw
30%
3.64
Away
25%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.74
Over 2.5
40%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.03
No
55%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
2.9
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.02
6+ Goals
9%
18.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.9 — our 31% vs market 28.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.08
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
9%
16.3
X/1
14%
3.67
X/2
7%
10.65
X/X
14%
4.75
2/1
7%
26.0
2/2
9%
9.09
2/X
8%
17.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
58%
-12.9pp
30%
Draw
24%
+5.8pp
25%
Away Win
18%
+7.1pp
60%
Under 2.5
54%
+6.0pp
40%
Over 2.5
46%
-6.0pp
45%
BTTS Yes
45%
-0.4pp
55%
BTTS No
55%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Internacional v Atletico Goianiense — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Internacional EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Goianiense EU Bookmakers 21%
-4% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +0%
1.73/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.57
+9% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +8%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
373 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 76%
24.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.3
23.4 Crosses 16.3
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.3

Internacional vs Atletico Goianiense Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Internacional
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Atletico Goianiense
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.41 xG 1.24
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
357 Passes 314
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
21 Box Touches 19
22 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
20.09.2022 Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense 1-2 HT 0-2 Internacional Internacional BR1
31.05.2022 Internacional Internacional 1-1 HT 1-0 Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense BR1
07.12.2021 Internacional Internacional 1-2 HT 1-2 Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense BR1
30.08.2021 Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense 0-0 HT 0-0 Internacional Internacional BR1
29.11.2020 Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense 0-0 HT 0-0 Internacional Internacional BR1
04.11.2020 Internacional Internacional 2-1 HT 0-0 Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense BRK

Internacional 1-1 Atletico Goianiense — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Internacional
1-1
AWAY Atletico Goianiense
1.92 xG 0.34
72% Ball Possession 28%
22 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 2
13 Corners 0
551 Passes 178
86% Pass Accuracy 70%
31 Box Touches 3
41 Crosses 5
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Internacional vs Atletico Goianiense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Internacional and Atletico Goianiense shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Internacional at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (60%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, Internacional had 72% of the ball to Atletico Goianiense's 28%, shots finished 22-4, expected goals 1.92 to 0.34.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Internacional had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Internacional and 0.83 for Atletico Goianiense.

What was the final score of Internacional vs Atletico Goianiense?

Internacional 1-1 Atletico Goianiense in the Brazil - Serie A on 29/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Internacional vs Atletico Goianiense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Internacional win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Internacional 45%, draw 30%, Atletico Goianiense 25%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Internacional), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Internacional) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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