Fortaleza 1-1 Bragantino — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 29 Apr 2024

Fortaleza
1-1 HT 1-1
Bragantino
📅29/04/2024 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Brazil - Serie A – 2024

Fortaleza vs Bragantino Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.09
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
33%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.67
Over 2.5
42%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.88
No
56%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.74
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.26
6+ Goals
9%
21.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.74 — our 33% vs market 30.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.03
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.5
X/1
15%
4.56
X/2
13%
6.7
X/X
13%
4.11
2/1
7%
28.5
2/2
14%
5.2
2/X
6%
13.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
44%
-3.9pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.2pp
33%
Away Win
28%
+5.0pp
58%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.9pp
42%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.9pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.7pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Fortaleza v Bragantino — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fortaleza EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Bragantino EU Bookmakers 31%
-9% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -19%
1.54/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.34
-28% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -17%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
344 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 81%
21.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.6
20.0 Crosses 20.2
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.7

Fortaleza vs Bragantino Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fortaleza
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Bragantino
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.49 xG 1.29
44% Ball Possession 56%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
263 Passes 363
74% Pass Accuracy 82%
20 Box Touches 16
14 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
01.12.2023 Bragantino 1-2 HT 1-2 Fortaleza Fortaleza BR1
10.11.2022 Fortaleza Fortaleza 6-0 HT 4-0 Bragantino BR1
21.07.2022 Bragantino 2-1 HT 1-0 Fortaleza Fortaleza BR1
14.11.2021 Bragantino 3-0 HT 2-0 Fortaleza Fortaleza BR1
25.07.2021 Fortaleza Fortaleza 1-0 HT 1-0 Bragantino BR1
12.12.2020 Bragantino 2-1 HT 1-1 Fortaleza Fortaleza BR1

Fortaleza 1-1 Bragantino — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fortaleza
1-1
AWAY Bragantino
44% Ball Possession 56%
22 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
12 Corners 6
232 Passes 324
72% Pass Accuracy 76%
POST-MATCH Fortaleza vs Bragantino
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fortaleza and Bragantino couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match split (40% / 27% / 33%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (58%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Fortaleza had 44% of the ball to Bragantino's 56%, shots finished 22-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Fortaleza and 1.33 for Bragantino.

What was the final score of Fortaleza vs Bragantino?

Fortaleza 1-1 Bragantino in the Brazil - Serie A on 29/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fortaleza vs Bragantino?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fortaleza win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Fortaleza 40%, draw 27%, Bragantino 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Fortaleza), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fortaleza) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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