Jeonbuk Motors 1-2 Incheon United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 21 Apr 2026

📅21/04/2026 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.72
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
25%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.74
Over 2.5
52%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.96
No
43%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
20%
X/2
8%
X/X
7%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
54%
-1.4pp
22%
Draw
25%
-3.0pp
25%
Away Win
20%
+4.5pp
48%
Under 2.5
54%
-6.2pp
52%
Over 2.5
46%
+6.2pp
57%
BTTS Yes
47%
+10.0pp
43%
BTTS No
53%
-10.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jeonbuk Motors EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Incheon United EU Bookmakers 23%
+10% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +23% / +29%
1.74/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/0.40
+16% / +69% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / +150%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
409 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.0
20.0 Crosses 21.5
1.9 Yellow Cards 0.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jeonbuk Motors
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Incheon United
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
418 Passes 374
82% Pass Accuracy 81%
12 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.11.2024 Jeonbuk Motors Jeonbuk Motors 0-0 HT 0-0 Incheon United Incheon United GKOR
24.08.2024 Incheon United Incheon United 0-1 HT 0-1 Jeonbuk Motors Jeonbuk Motors GKOR
16.06.2024 Jeonbuk Motors Jeonbuk Motors 2-2 HT 1-0 Incheon United Incheon United GKOK
01.05.2024 Incheon United Incheon United 3-0 HT 0-0 Jeonbuk Motors Jeonbuk Motors GKOK
12.11.2023 Incheon United Incheon United 1-1 HT 0-0 Jeonbuk Motors Jeonbuk Motors GKOK
01.11.2023 Jeonbuk Motors Jeonbuk Motors 3-1 HT 1-1 Incheon United Incheon United GKOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jeonbuk Motors
1-2
AWAY Incheon United
51% Ball Possession 49%
17 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 1
397 Passes 392
85% Pass Accuracy 85%
26 Crosses 11
0 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Jeonbuk Motors vs Incheon United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Incheon United squeezed past Jeonbuk Motors 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Jeonbuk Motors at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Jeonbuk Motors had 51% of the ball to Incheon United's 49%, shots finished 17-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Jeonbuk Motors had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Jeonbuk Motors and 1.17 for Incheon United.

What was the final score of Jeonbuk Motors vs Incheon United?

Jeonbuk Motors 1-2 Incheon United in the South Kore - K League Classic on 21/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jeonbuk Motors vs Incheon United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jeonbuk Motors win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Jeonbuk Motors 53%, draw 22%, Incheon United 25%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Jeonbuk Motors) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Jeonbuk Motors) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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