Incheon United 3-0 Jeonbuk Motors — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 1 May 2024

📅01/05/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.46
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
33%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.68
Over 2.5
48%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.82
No
50%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.8
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
4.18
6+ Goals
9%
20.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.77
1/2
7%
32.0
1/X
8%
13.35
X/1
15%
5.33
X/2
15%
5.52
X/X
12%
4.12
2/1
7%
31.5
2/2
12%
3.97
2/X
7%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
37%
+3.1pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.9pp
33%
Away Win
34%
-1.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
56%
-4.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
44%
+4.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.4pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Incheon United EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Jeonbuk Motors EU Bookmakers 38%
+1% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +5%
0.90/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.15
-17% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +56%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
346 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 362 · 78%
17.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
16.8 Crosses 17.8
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Incheon United
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Jeonbuk Motors
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.34 xG 2.27
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
301 Passes 398
74% Pass Accuracy 80%
31 Box Touches 27
27 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
12.11.2023 Incheon United Incheon United 1-1 HT 0-0 Jeonbuk Motors Jeonbuk Motors GKOK
01.11.2023 Jeonbuk Motors Jeonbuk Motors 3-1 HT 1-1 Incheon United Incheon United GKOK
06.08.2023 Jeonbuk Motors Jeonbuk Motors 2-0 HT 2-0 Incheon United Incheon United GKOK
14.05.2023 Incheon United Incheon United 0-0 HT 0-0 Jeonbuk Motors Jeonbuk Motors GKOK
09.04.2023 Jeonbuk Motors Jeonbuk Motors 2-0 HT 0-0 Incheon United Incheon United GKOK
23.10.2022 Jeonbuk Motors Jeonbuk Motors 2-1 HT 1-0 Incheon United Incheon United GKOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Incheon United
3-0
AWAY Jeonbuk Motors
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 4
305 Passes 511
78% Pass Accuracy 86%
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Incheon United vs Jeonbuk Motors
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Incheon United cruised past Jeonbuk Motors 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 27% / 33%) promised a tight game; Incheon United found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Incheon United had 48% of the ball to Jeonbuk Motors's 52%, shots finished 8-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Jeonbuk Motors led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Incheon United and 1.67 for Jeonbuk Motors.

What was the final score of Incheon United vs Jeonbuk Motors?

Incheon United 3-0 Jeonbuk Motors in the South Kore - K League Classic on 01/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Incheon United vs Jeonbuk Motors?

Before kick-off our model rated a Incheon United win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Incheon United 40%, draw 27%, Jeonbuk Motors 33%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Incheon United) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Incheon United) ✗ Under 2.5
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