Daegu 1-2 Ulsan Hyundai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 1 May 2024

📅01/05/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.32
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
41%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.86
Over 2.5
42%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.75
No
55%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.29
2-3 Goals
44%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.58
6+ Goals
8%
14.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.29 — our 28% vs market 24.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
5.78
1/2
7%
24.45
1/X
6%
14.2
X/1
10%
7.68
X/2
16%
4.32
X/X
12%
4.74
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
18%
2.59
2/X
9%
13.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
27%
+5.6pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.9pp
40%
Away Win
47%
-6.5pp
58%
Under 2.5
50%
+8.5pp
42%
Over 2.5
50%
-8.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
53%
-7.9pp
55%
BTTS No
47%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Daegu EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Ulsan Hyundai EU Bookmakers 51%
+7% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.31/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/0.94
+6% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +1%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
336 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 77%
20.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.3
15.3 Crosses 17.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Daegu
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Ulsan Hyundai
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.30 xG 2.00
29% Ball Possession 71%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 5
200 Passes 690
74% Pass Accuracy 90%
15 Box Touches 26
16 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
29.10.2023 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai 2-0 HT 0-0 Daegu Daegu GKOK
05.08.2023 Daegu Daegu 0-0 HT 0-0 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai GKOK
24.06.2023 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai 3-1 HT 1-0 Daegu Daegu GKOR
05.05.2023 Daegu Daegu 0-3 HT 0-3 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai GKOK
13.08.2022 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai 4-0 HT 2-0 Daegu Daegu GKOK
09.07.2022 Daegu Daegu 1-1 HT 0-0 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai GKOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Daegu
1-2
AWAY Ulsan Hyundai
48% Ball Possession 52%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
359 Passes 463
80% Pass Accuracy 81%
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Daegu vs Ulsan Hyundai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ulsan Hyundai edged past Daegu 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 27% / 40% — and on the day Ulsan Hyundai made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Daegu had 48% of the ball to Ulsan Hyundai's 52%, shots finished 15-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ulsan Hyundai led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Daegu and 2.17 for Ulsan Hyundai.

What was the final score of Daegu vs Ulsan Hyundai?

Daegu 1-2 Ulsan Hyundai in the South Kore - K League Classic on 01/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Daegu vs Ulsan Hyundai?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ulsan Hyundai win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Daegu 32%, draw 27%, Ulsan Hyundai 40%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ulsan Hyundai) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ulsan Hyundai) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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