Diriyah 1-3 Al Raed — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia - 1st Division, 21 Apr 2026

📅21/04/2026 · 🕒18:55 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.49
Draw
24%
4.19
Away
20%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.29
Over 2.5
58%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.6
No
40%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
15%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
62%
-5.9pp
24%
Draw
20%
+3.7pp
20%
Away Win
18%
+2.2pp
42%
Under 2.5
40%
+2.3pp
58%
Over 2.5
60%
-2.3pp
60%
BTTS Yes
58%
+1.8pp
40%
BTTS No
42%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Diriyah EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Raed EU Bookmakers 21%
+21% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -38% / -38%
2.65/0.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/2.00
+37% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -25%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
392 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Diriyah
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Al Raed
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
26.12.2025 Al Raed Al Raed 2-3 HT 0-2 Diriyah Diriyah SUUD1
POST-MATCH Diriyah vs Al Raed
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Raed got the better of Diriyah 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Diriyah at 56% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (60%) came in.

What was the final score of Diriyah vs Al Raed?

Diriyah 1-3 Al Raed in the Saudi Arabia - 1st Division on 21/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Diriyah vs Al Raed?

Before kick-off our model rated a Diriyah win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Diriyah 56%, draw 24%, Al Raed 20%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Diriyah) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Diriyah) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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