AS Agareb 1-0 Baath Bouhajla — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme, 21 Apr 2026

📅21/04/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.0
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
27%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
Over 2.5
44%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
No
52%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
9%
X/X
19%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
46%
-1.3pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.5pp
27%
Away Win
26%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AS Agareb EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Baath Bouhajla EU Bookmakers 29%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +22% / +22%
1.12/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/0.66
-5% / -41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +73%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
344 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 249 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AS Agareb
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Baath Bouhajla
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
22.11.2025 Baath Bouhajla 3-1 HT 1-1 AS Agareb AS Agareb TUN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AS Agareb
1-0
AWAY Baath Bouhajla
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 4
3 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH AS Agareb vs Baath Bouhajla
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AS Agareb nicked a narrow win over Baath Bouhajla 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had AS Agareb as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, AS Agareb had 55% of the ball to Baath Bouhajla's 45%, shots finished 12-4.

What was the final score of AS Agareb vs Baath Bouhajla?

AS Agareb 1-0 Baath Bouhajla in the Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme on 21/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AS Agareb vs Baath Bouhajla?

Before kick-off our model rated a AS Agareb win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split AS Agareb 45%, draw 29%, Baath Bouhajla 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AS Agareb), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (AS Agareb) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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