Baath Bouhajla 3-1 AS Agareb — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme, 22 Nov 2025

📅22/11/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.64
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
22%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.52
Over 2.5
40%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.33
No
56%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
15%
X/2
16%
X/X
20%
2/1
5%
2/2
3%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
57%
-6.1pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.3pp
22%
Away Win
17%
+5.8pp
60%
Under 2.5
62%
-1.6pp
40%
Over 2.5
38%
+1.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
39%
+5.5pp
56%
BTTS No
61%
-5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Baath Bouhajla EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY AS Agareb EU Bookmakers 20%
-20% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
1.04/0.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.25/1.19
-33% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -62% / +19%
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
403 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 237 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.2
POST-MATCH Baath Bouhajla vs AS Agareb
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Baath Bouhajla saw off AS Agareb 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Baath Bouhajla as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Baath Bouhajla vs AS Agareb?

Baath Bouhajla 3-1 AS Agareb in the Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme on 22/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Baath Bouhajla vs AS Agareb?

Before kick-off our model rated a Baath Bouhajla win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Baath Bouhajla 51%, draw 27%, AS Agareb 22%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Baath Bouhajla) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Baath Bouhajla) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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