Hammam-Sousse 2-3 Msaken — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme, 22 Nov 2025

📅22/11/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.75
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
17%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
Over 2.5
38%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.33
No
55%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
6%
X/X
18%
2/1
6%
2/2
5%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
54%
-0.2pp
30%
Draw
28%
+1.4pp
17%
Away Win
18%
-1.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
39%
+6.4pp
55%
BTTS No
61%
-6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hammam-Sousse EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Msaken EU Bookmakers 21%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
1.08/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/0.82
-31% / -40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +62%
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
359 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.3 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hammam-Sousse
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Msaken
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
65% Ball Possession 35%
18 Total Shots 9
11 Shots on Target 5
12 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 2
20.04.2025 Hammam-Sousse Hammam-Sousse 3-3 Msaken Msaken TUN2
07.12.2024 Msaken Msaken 2-2 Hammam-Sousse Hammam-Sousse TUN2
31.05.2024 Msaken Msaken 1-0 HT 1-0 Hammam-Sousse Hammam-Sousse TUN2
POST-MATCH Hammam-Sousse vs Msaken
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Msaken nicked a narrow win over Hammam-Sousse 3-2 away from home. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Hammam-Sousse at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Msaken led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Hammam-Sousse and 2.00 for Msaken.

What was the final score of Hammam-Sousse vs Msaken?

Hammam-Sousse 2-3 Msaken in the Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme on 22/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hammam-Sousse vs Msaken?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hammam-Sousse win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Hammam-Sousse 53%, draw 30%, Msaken 17%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Hammam-Sousse) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
TUN2 More Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme
22 Nov 2025
16:00 US Bouselem vs Sfax Railways Analysis →
16:00 Baath Bouhajla vs AS Agareb Analysis →
16:00 EM Mahdia vs Megrine Analysis →
16:00 Kerkennah vs SA Menzel Bourguiba Analysis →
16:00 Kalaa Sport vs Stade Gabesien Analysis →