EM Mahdia 0-1 Megrine — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme, 22 Nov 2025

EM Mahdia
0-1 HT 0-1
Megrine
📅22/11/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme – 2025/2026

EM Mahdia vs Megrine Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.27
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
29%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.62
Over 2.5
46%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.88
No
47%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
19%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
40%
+4.9pp
26%
Draw
29%
-3.7pp
29%
Away Win
30%
-1.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
58%
-4.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
42%
+4.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
49%
+4.2pp
47%
BTTS No
51%
-4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

EM Mahdia v Megrine — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME EM Mahdia EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Megrine EU Bookmakers 34%
-22% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -40% / -40%
0.93/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/1.56
-19% / -39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -31%
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
331 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 71%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.8

EM Mahdia vs Megrine Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME EM Mahdia
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Megrine
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
The Meetings
04.01.2025 Megrine 2-1 EM Mahdia TUN2
POST-MATCH EM Mahdia vs Megrine
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Megrine edged past EM Mahdia 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was EM Mahdia at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

What was the final score of EM Mahdia vs Megrine?

EM Mahdia 0-1 Megrine in the Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme on 22/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for EM Mahdia vs Megrine?

Before kick-off our model rated a EM Mahdia win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split EM Mahdia 45%, draw 26%, Megrine 29%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (EM Mahdia), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (EM Mahdia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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