Kerkennah 1-1 SA Menzel Bourguiba — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme, 22 Nov 2025

📅22/11/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.64
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
16%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.59
Over 2.5
47%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.27
No
54%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
6%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
57%
-1.9pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.6pp
16%
Away Win
17%
-0.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
59%
-6.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
41%
+6.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
40%
+5.7pp
54%
BTTS No
60%
-5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kerkennah EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY SA Menzel Bourguiba EU Bookmakers 20%
-21% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.60/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.26/0.84
+5% / -52% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -61% / +70%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
355 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.9
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kerkennah
1-1
AWAY SA Menzel Bourguiba
69% Ball Possession 31%
19 Total Shots 4
6 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 0
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Kerkennah vs SA Menzel Bourguiba
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kerkennah and SA Menzel Bourguiba couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Kerkennah at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Kerkennah had 69% of the ball to SA Menzel Bourguiba's 31%, shots finished 19-4.

What was the final score of Kerkennah vs SA Menzel Bourguiba?

Kerkennah 1-1 SA Menzel Bourguiba in the Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme on 22/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kerkennah vs SA Menzel Bourguiba?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kerkennah win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Kerkennah 55%, draw 29%, SA Menzel Bourguiba 16%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Kerkennah), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kerkennah) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
TUN2 More Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme
22 Nov 2025
16:00 US Bouselem vs Sfax Railways Analysis →
16:00 Baath Bouhajla vs AS Agareb Analysis →
16:00 EM Mahdia vs Megrine Analysis →
16:00 Hammam-Sousse vs Msaken Analysis →
16:00 Kalaa Sport vs Stade Gabesien Analysis →