Msaken 2-2 Hammam-Sousse — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme, 7 Dec 2024

📅07/12/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.82
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
28%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.48
Over 2.5
39%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.29
No
63%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
13%
X/X
18%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
51%
-9.2pp
30%
Draw
28%
+2.4pp
28%
Away Win
21%
+6.8pp
61%
Under 2.5
64%
-2.8pp
39%
Over 2.5
36%
+2.9pp
37%
BTTS Yes
40%
-2.3pp
63%
BTTS No
60%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Msaken EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Hammam-Sousse EU Bookmakers 24%
+23% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +63% / +63%
2.21/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/0.00
+80% / -51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +83% /
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
288 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Msaken
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Hammam-Sousse
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
31.05.2024 Msaken Msaken 1-0 HT 1-0 Hammam-Sousse Hammam-Sousse TUN2
POST-MATCH Msaken vs Hammam-Sousse
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Msaken and Hammam-Sousse shared the points in a 2-2 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Msaken at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (63%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Msaken vs Hammam-Sousse?

Msaken 2-2 Hammam-Sousse in the Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme on 07/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Msaken vs Hammam-Sousse?

Before kick-off our model rated a Msaken win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Msaken 42%, draw 30%, Hammam-Sousse 28%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Msaken) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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