AS Ariana 2-1 AS Marsa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme, 7 Dec 2024

AS Ariana
2-1
AS Marsa
📅07/12/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme – 2025/2026

AS Ariana vs AS Marsa Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.46
Draw
36%
3.04
Away
31%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.51
Over 2.5
38%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.06
No
53%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
14%
X/1
7%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
37%
-4.2pp
36%
Draw
30%
+6.0pp
32%
Away Win
33%
-1.7pp
62%
Under 2.5
62%
-0.3pp
38%
Over 2.5
38%
+0.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
44%
+2.6pp
53%
BTTS No
56%
-2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

AS Ariana v AS Marsa — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AS Ariana EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY AS Marsa EU Bookmakers 37%
-25% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +31% / +31%
0.34/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/0.75
-67% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +144% / +28%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
289 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 2.5
POST-MATCH AS Ariana vs AS Marsa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AS Ariana edged past AS Marsa 2-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 36% / 32% — and on the day AS Ariana made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of AS Ariana vs AS Marsa?

AS Ariana 2-1 AS Marsa in the Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme on 07/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AS Ariana vs AS Marsa?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split AS Ariana 33%, draw 36%, AS Marsa 32%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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