EM Mahdia 1-1 Jendouba Sports — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme, 7 Dec 2024

📅07/12/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.76
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
27%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.41
Over 2.5
41%
2.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.53
No
59%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
53%
-4.7pp
25%
Draw
28%
-3.2pp
27%
Away Win
19%
+7.9pp
59%
Under 2.5
67%
-8.6pp
41%
Over 2.5
33%
+8.6pp
41%
BTTS Yes
36%
+5.3pp
59%
BTTS No
64%
-5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME EM Mahdia EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Jendouba Sports EU Bookmakers 22%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -19%
1.40/0.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.53/1.15
+4% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / +4%
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
294 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH EM Mahdia vs Jendouba Sports
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

EM Mahdia and Jendouba Sports shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was EM Mahdia at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (59%) landed while no to both teams scoring (59%) missed.

What was the final score of EM Mahdia vs Jendouba Sports?

EM Mahdia 1-1 Jendouba Sports in the Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme on 07/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for EM Mahdia vs Jendouba Sports?

Before kick-off our model rated a EM Mahdia win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split EM Mahdia 48%, draw 25%, Jendouba Sports 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (EM Mahdia), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (EM Mahdia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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