31/05/2024
·
17:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
0-1
Msaken vs Hammam-Sousse Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
31%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
20%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
57%
25%
Draw
26%
25%
Away Win
17%
52%
Under 2.5
64%
48%
Over 2.5
36%
42%
BTTS Yes
36%
58%
BTTS No
64%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Msaken v Hammam-Sousse — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Msaken
EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY
Hammam-Sousse
EU Bookmakers 20%
+3% /
+3%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
-11%
/
-29%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
54%
Ball Possession
46%
11
Total Shots
9
5
Shots on Target
3
6
Corners
4
313 · 75%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
286 · 72%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
4.0
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Msaken vs Hammam-Sousse
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Msaken squeezed past Hammam-Sousse 1-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Msaken as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.
What was the final score of Msaken vs Hammam-Sousse?
Msaken 1-0 Hammam-Sousse in the Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme on 31/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Msaken vs Hammam-Sousse?
Before kick-off our model rated a Msaken win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Msaken 49%, draw 25%, Hammam-Sousse 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Msaken), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Msaken)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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TUN2
More Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme
31 May 2024