31/05/2024
·
17:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
1-0
Korba vs AS Ariana Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
No
50%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
11%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
💡 For the risk lovers:
Under 2.5
★★
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
54%
33%
Draw
25%
23%
Away Win
20%
59%
Under 2.5
59%
41%
Over 2.5
41%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Korba v AS Ariana — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Korba
EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY
AS Ariana
EU Bookmakers 23%
-5% /
-5%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
-45%
/
-1%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
53%
Ball Possession
47%
12
Total Shots
10
5
Shots on Target
4
6
Corners
4
311 · 77%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
296 · 75%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
1.3
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Korba vs AS Ariana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Korba edged past AS Ariana 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had Korba as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Korba vs AS Ariana?
Korba 2-1 AS Ariana in the Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme on 31/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Korba vs AS Ariana?
Before kick-off our model rated a Korba win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Korba 43%, draw 33%, AS Ariana 23%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Korba) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Korba)
✗ Under 2.5
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TUN2
More Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme
31 May 2024