Sporting Ben Arous 2-1 Hammam-Lif — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme, 31 May 2024

📅31/05/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.0
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
24%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.52
Over 2.5
36%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.09
No
59%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
9%
X/X
18%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
46%
-1.8pp
31%
Draw
29%
+2.2pp
24%
Away Win
24%
-0.4pp
64%
Under 2.5
62%
+1.6pp
36%
Over 2.5
38%
-1.6pp
41%
BTTS Yes
44%
-2.7pp
59%
BTTS No
56%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting Ben Arous EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Hammam-Lif EU Bookmakers 28%
-26% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-100% / +143% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
263 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting Ben Arous
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Hammam-Lif
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
36% Ball Possession 64%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.04.2023 Hammam-Lif Hammam-Lif 2-1 HT 0-0 Sporting Ben Arous Sporting Ben Arous TUN2
20.11.2022 Sporting Ben Arous Sporting Ben Arous 0-2 HT 0-0 Hammam-Lif Hammam-Lif TUN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting Ben Arous
2-1
AWAY Hammam-Lif
52% Ball Possession 48%
23 Total Shots 8
14 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sporting Ben Arous vs Hammam-Lif
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting Ben Arous nicked a narrow win over Hammam-Lif 2-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Sporting Ben Arous as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sporting Ben Arous had 52% of the ball to Hammam-Lif's 48%, shots finished 23-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Hammam-Lif led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Sporting Ben Arous and 2.00 for Hammam-Lif.

What was the final score of Sporting Ben Arous vs Hammam-Lif?

Sporting Ben Arous 2-1 Hammam-Lif in the Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme on 31/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting Ben Arous vs Hammam-Lif?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting Ben Arous win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Sporting Ben Arous 45%, draw 31%, Hammam-Lif 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting Ben Arous) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sporting Ben Arous) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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